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The Non-Linear Dependence of Daily Maximum Ionospheric Total Electron Content on F10.7
By Martin Cafolla (University of Warwick)
Solar Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) radiation drives ionisation in the upper atmosphere to create the ionosphere. The variability of the intensity of this radiation results in regions of high electron number density across the ionosphere, characterised by the Total Electron Content (TEC). The daily solar flux at 10.7cm, the F10.7 index, is commonly used as a proxy to EUV in ionospheric models. Typically studies have shown how either the global averages or geographically local values of TEC vary with daily F10.7, F10.7A (the 81-day average) and F10.7p (a combination of daily F10.7 and F10.7A). We study how the daily maximum TEC correlates with daily F10.7 using 15-minute Global Ionospheric Maps (GIMs) from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) between 2003-2024.
We find that for F10.7 ≳ 78 − 85 SFU, the daily maximum TEC saturates to a seasonally dependent value between 83−128 TECU. We asses the distribution of the residuals from linear and non-linear least squares fitting as a function of F10.7, as demonstrated in the figure below, and find that a tanh function out-performs a linear function for F10.7 ≥ 150 SFU. Our results are sensitive to different hemispheres, as a result of the construction of JPL-GIMs. Finally, we find that the daily F10.7 clearly resolves the saturation of daily maximum TEC, while F10.7 based on the average does not. Quantifying the value at which the daily maximum TEC saturates with F10.7, and its seasonal dependence, specifies the requirements of systems that are sensitive to extremes in TEC, important in planning of Low Earth Orbit satellite operations.
See publication for more details:
Cafolla, M. A., Chapman, S. C., Watkins, N. W., & Verkhoglyadova, O. P. (2026). The non-linear dependence of daily maximum ionospheric total electron content on F10.7. Space Weather, 24, e2025SW004745. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025SW004745

JWST Discovers the Vertical Structure of Uranus' Ionosphere
By Paola I. Tiranti (Northumbria University, School of Engineering, Physics and Mathematics, Newcastle, UK.)
Uranus’s upper atmosphere is one of the least understood in our Solar System, despite being critical for understanding how giant planets interact with their space environment. Using the James Webb Space Telescope, we observed Uranus for a full rotation and measured the vertical structure of its ionosphere - the charged layer of the atmosphere where aurorae form. Our results show that temperatures peak around 3,000 - 4,000 km above the planet, while ion densities peak near 1,000 km, and are significantly weaker than predicted by models. We also find two bright bands of auroral emission close to Uranus’ magnetic poles, as well as a surprising region where both emission and density are depleted, likely linked to the unusual geometry of Uranus’ tilted and offset magnetic field. These discoveries not only confirm that Uranus’ upper atmosphere has been cooling for decades, but also reveal new structures shaped by its magnetic environment. Together, they provide critical benchmarks for future missions and improve our understanding of how giant planets (both in our Solar System and beyond) balance energy in their upper atmospheres.
See publication for more details:
Tiranti, P. I., Melin, H., Moore, L., Thomas, E. M., Knowles, K. L., Stallard, T. S., K. Roberts & O’Donoghue, J. (2026). JWST discovers the vertical structure of Uranus' ionosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(4), e2025GL119304. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL119304

Fig 1: Vertical profiles in different regions as observed by JWST on 2025-01-19. a) and b) H3+ temperature and number density, respectively, for auroral region 1 (A1, 0° - 112°W, dark grey), auroral region 2 (A2, 200° - 251°W, dark green), non auroral region 1 (NA1, 113° - 199°W, orange), non auroral region 2 (NA2, 252° - 360°W, brown), emission dip region (ED, 190° - 240°W, light grey). c) Limb data points projected on disk used for the different regional profiles, as described above, with L-shells contours from the Q3 model (Connerney et al, 1987).
Sun-to-Mud observations of the May and October storms of 2024: impacts on Ireland’s Space Weather
By Alexandra Ruth Fogg (Dublin Institute for Advanced Studies)
Around the peak of Solar Cycle 25 in 2024, Earth experienced two dramatic geomagnetic storms in May and October. In this study, we track both storms from the Sun, through interplanetary space, to the Earth and finally to the ground over the island of Ireland. We compare and contrasts the storms in terms of both their solar drivers, and their ground impacts. We term the events: the “May” storm which peaks around 11th May 2024 and the “October” storm which peaks around 11th October 2024.
Key comparisons:
We conclude that while the May storm was driven by a much more complex solar driving event, the Earth is primed by precursor activity in October, enhancing the strength of its response.
See publication for more details:
Fogg, A. R., Lucas, A. R., Hayes, L. A., Ivanov, S. M., Walker, S. J., Malone-Leigh, J., Murray, S. A., Leahy, S. R., Jackman, C. M., Gallagher, P. T. (2026). Sun-to-Mud observations of the May and October storms of 2024: impacts on Ireland’s Space Weather. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate (Topical Issue - Severe space weather events of May 2024 and their impacts) 16, 2. https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2025044

Collection of images of the Aurora taken during both storms in Ireland. All photos were taken near Kells, Co. Meath, approximately indicated by the purple star on the map of Ireland in panel (d). The approximate locations of the MagIE magnetometers at Dunsink (north east) and Valentia (south west) are indicated with yellow crosses in panel (d). (a,b,f,g) show photos taken with an iPhone 13 by S. R. Leahy. (c,e) show timeseries of SMR for the May and October storms respectively, with purple vertical lines on inset panels indicating the timings of each photo.
Fraction of energy carried by coherent structures in the turbulent cascade in the solar wind
By Alina Bendt (SERENE, School of Engineering, University of Birmingham)
Turbulence is a highly disordered state of flow. It is ubiquitous in astrophysical plasma flows. Turbulence is a proposed mechanism to heat the solar wind, though to what extent turbulence can heat and drive the solar wind is yet an open question. Coherent structures are known to be sites of enhanced dissipation. We use the method proposed by Bendt & Chapman (2025) to distinguish between wave-packets and coherent structures in magnetic field observations by Solar Orbiter and to determine the power that is carried by coherent structures across the inertial (MHD, intermediate scales) and kinetic (small scales) ranges.
We find that coherent structures carry up to a maximum of 50% of the total power in magnetic field fluctuations. In the inertial range, from large to small scales, the percentage of power carried in coherent structures increases roughly linearly at distances less than 0.4 au from the Sun. At larger distances, there are two subranges in the inertial range. In the kinetic range, the percentage of power in coherent structures decreases approximately linearly towards smaller scales.
Our result of a significant percentage of the total power being carried in coherent structures supports the idea that coherent structures are important for turbulent heating of the solar wind. We also provide first insight into the recently discovered behaviour of two subranges in the inertial range.
Reference: Bendt & Chapman 2026 ApJL doi: https://doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/ae3820
Bendt & Chapman 2025 PhysRevRes doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.7.023176
See publication for details:
A. Bendt and S. C. Chapman 2026 Fraction of Energy Carried by Coherent Structures in the Turbulent Cascade in the Solar Wind ApJL https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/ae3820
Power in coherent structures as a function of frequency. Results are plotted for the magnetic field component B⟂(BxVsw). Left to right, the panels group the intervals by heliocentric distance: panels (a), (d) R < 0.4 au; panels (b), (e) 0.4 ≤ R < 0.8 au; and panels (c), (f) R ≥ 0.8 au. Upper panels plot the percentage of power in coherent structures LIM-P(fn) and lower panels overplot the power spectral density of coherent structures (purple ×, grey shading) on the total power (purple ⋆) for one of these intervals. On all panels, black vertical lines denote the 1 hr, 1 minute, and 1 s timescales. On upper panels, the vertical grey shading indicates the range of frequencies of the ion-gyro radius of all intervals. The of the single interval shown in the lower panels is indicated by a black vertical line. For the different intervals in the upper panels, the colours denote plasma beta, β < 0.5 (blue), 0.5 ≤ β < 2 (red), and β≥2 (black). Field-alignment angle value (range 0°–90° obtained by folding in angles ≥90°): θ < 20° (+), 20°–60° (∘), and θ ≥ 60° (△).
Global Morphology of Chorus Waves in the Outer Radiation Belt and the Effect of Geomagnetic Activity and fpe/fce
By Kaine Bunting (British Antarctic Survey)
Chorus waves are naturally occurring plasma waves often observed in the Earth’s outer radiation belt that strongly influence the behaviour of energetic electrons. These waves can both accelerate electrons to relativistic energies, which poses a threat to satellites, as well as scatter electrons into Earth's atmosphere, where they are consequently lost.
The ratio between the electron plasma frequency (fpe) and electron gyrofrequency (fce) holds information on both electron density and magnetic field strength and significantly influences the efficiency of these processes, with electron acceleration being most effective during periods of low fpe/fce.
Bunting et al. (2026) analyses a combined 24.5 years of wave data from three THEMIS satellites to investigate the effect of fpe/fce, geomagnetic activity and normalized frequency on the spatial distribution and intensity of chorus waves.
The strongest waves are generally observed on the dawn-side of the Earth during active geomagnetic conditions. Figure 1 shows global plots of the equatorial (|MLAT| < 9°) chorus wave intensity during active conditions (AE > 200nT). At intermediate relative frequencies (0.3fce < f < 0.4fce), chorus is largely independent of fpe/fce. However, at low frequencies (flhr < f < 0.1fce), strong waves are most often associated with high fpe/fce (>10) and at high frequencies (0.5fce < f < 0.7fce), chorus is strongest at low fpe/fce (<6).
Overall, this study highlights the critical role of fpe/fce on the spatial distribution and dynamic behaviour of chorus waves under varying geomagnetic conditions, as well as its influence on wave-particle interactions. During a geomagnetic storm fpe/fce outside of the plasmapause may gradually change from low to high values over the course of the recovery phase, suggesting that the role of chorus may change from efficient acceleration early in the recovery phase to little or no acceleration and even loss toward the end of the recovery phase.
See publication for details:
Bunting, K. A., Meredith, N. P., Bortnik, J., Ma, Q., Matsuura, R., & Shen, X.-C. (2026). Global morphology of chorus waves in the outer radiation belt and the effect of geomagnetic activity and fpe/fce. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 131, e2025JA034737. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JA034737

Figure 1 - Global maps of the average chorus wave intensity during active geomagnetic conditions (AE > 200nT) in the equatorial region (MLAT < 9°) as a function of L* and magnetic local time for, from top to bottom, increasing relative frequency, and, from left to right, increasing fpe/fce. The maps extend linearly out to L* = 10 with noon at the top and dawn to the right. The average intensities are shown in the large panels and the corresponding sampling distributions in the small panels to the bottom right of each large panel.